System Online
8 LAYERS

Forecasts & Signals

Adaptive ensemble forecasting with Monte Carlo uncertainty bands, regime detection, and cross-layer compound signals

Horizon:
10Y Treasury Yield — Ensemble Forecast
Point forecast with uncertainty fan
Backtesting engines & simulating futures…
Model Leaderboard
Rolling-origin backtest on this series — weights adapt to whichever engine predicts it best
Regime Detection
Trailing z-score anomalies and CUSUM change points on 10Y Treasury Yield
Intelligence Layer States
Live anomaly scores per intelligence layer — the inputs to compound-signal detection