System Online
8 LAYERSFinancial Markets Intelligence
FRED data, sovereign spreads, currency risk, and market sentiment
—
5.33%
Fed Funds Rate
↓
4.25%
10Y Treasury
↑
-0.42%
2Y-10Y Spread
—
18.2
VIX
↑
$78.50
WTI Crude
↑
$2,175
Gold
Yield Curve
US Treasury yields across maturities
Yield curve chart — connects to FRED DGS series
VIX & Market Stress
Volatility index with regime detection
VIX time-series with stress regime highlighting
Currency Heat Map
USD cross-rates and emerging market FX risk
Currency heatmap — FRED exchange rate series
Recession Probability
2Y-10Y spread inversion tracker + model
Spread chart with recession probability overlay
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Sentinel's Risk Assessment
The Risk Guardian's take on current market conditions
“The inverted yield curve remains my primary concern. Historically, a sustained inversion of the 2Y-10Y spread has preceded every US recession since 1970 with a 12-18 month lag. Combined with elevated VIX and tightening credit spreads, I recommend reducing exposure to cyclical sectors and increasing allocation to defensive positions. Remember: the best strategy is the one that survives.”